FUTURECASTS JOURNAL
Islamic Immigration Into Europe
(with a review of "Reflections on the Revolution in Europe: Immigration, Islam, and the West" by Christopher Caldwell) |
March, 2015
www.futurecasts.com
The Muslim religious wars:
Even Israel is of just minor significance. |
To understand the so-called "War on Terror,"
a knowledge of the religious wars in Europe in the 16th and 17th centuries is
more than just a little useful. No one should be of the view that the West or
any other outsiders are currently the primary targets of Muslim militants. Even Israel is
of just minor significance, useful primarily for ideological propaganda. |
As soon as they were freed from colonial rule and European dominance, they rushed back to the important task of killing each other in the name of God. |
Muslim militants are
today fighting for dominance within the
Muslim world. They are fighting their religious wars against each other. Only if and when that is sorted out will outside targets become
really significant. |
When each religion - and each sect within each religion - is certain that it alone possesses God's ultimate truth - where is there any scope for the constant play of compromise and accommodation that alone can provide a basis for civil society, peace and prosperity? When clerics are given free rein to preach intolerance and hate as a means of keeping their flocks from considering alternative religious views, how can war fevers ever be quenched? |
Rule by consent of the
governed is a rare virtue in the Middle East. In the Middle East, most governments rule by
terror. They are theocratic or include important theocratic forces. |
These conflicts will ultimately have to be resolved by the Muslim peoples. However, the West can have a powerful influence on outcomes, and must remain actively engaged. |
The West cannot determine the outcome of this
historic period of religious conflict in the Muslim world. These conflicts
will ultimately
have to be resolved by the Muslim peoples themselves. However, the West can have
a powerful influence on outcomes, and must remain actively engaged. |
The threat in Europe: |
Muslim religious wars are now enveloping Europe,
Christopher Caldwell explains in "Reflections on the Revolution in
Europe: Immigration, Islam, and the West." |
This politically correct view is absurd and is being increasingly rejected. Recent events make it increasingly difficult to avoid serious consideration of Caldwell's views. |
Caldwell presents a very illiberal view of Muslim immigration in
Europe. The
politically correct but clearly absurd alternative view of European political
elites is that violence has no place in an essentially peaceful Muslim
religion and is the product of a small militant minority trying to
"hijack" the religion. |
The relationship between the violent tendencies of Muslim militants and the Muslim religion are subject to a variety of views that Caldwell dedicates considerable space to. The various views of Western politicians and political spokesmen are generally mere rationalization and afflicted by ignorance of the subject matter. Using the term "Islamism" for Muslim militancy, Caldwell states:
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Moralizing elites and businessmen who need the labor welcome or find reasons for not blocking Muslim immigration. However, there is an intellectual chasm opening between them and the bulk of a European population that increasingly recognizes the threat. |
The variety
of immigration flows within and into Europe is acknowledged by
Caldwell. He carefully emphasizes
that his outline of the problems is not adequate to fully cover the
complexities, variances and nuances of the cultural problems with the Muslim
immigrants from the many different nations, tribes, sects and cultures. He
nevertheless emphasizes the threats posed
by mass immigration of Muslim peoples. |
More ominous is the growing need to maintain surveillance of radical imams and the congregations of their mosques, and the need to actively defend the rights of women (and Jews). |
A similar Latino immigration into the U.S. shows
every sign of assimilation by the second generation. Latino immigrants fill in
among the lower working class ranks just as previous flows of European
immigrants. |
Muslim women often have higher fertility rates in Europe than in their native lands - well over 3 children per woman.
Muslim culture and religious instruction is full of the notion of ultimate triumph by procreation, and there is much about Western culture that prevents it from providing an attractive alternative.
The new immigrants bring crime and squalor and incomprehension as well as their vitality and labor. |
A population vacuum is drawing more immigrants
into Europe. The native population of almost all European nations is in decline,
and some are in rapid decline. Fertility in over half a dozen European nations
is just 1.3 children per woman. These native populations will shrink by 50% by
2050, and already over 25% of Europeans are over 60 years of age.
A strong Europe might well take pleasure in the cultural enrichment that immigrants bring. However, a weak Europe with a decadent culture will more likely find itself being supplanted - much like the Spanish in Texas when a few ambitious ranchers arrived there from the U.S. 180 years ago.
Meanwhile, the new immigrants bring crime and squalor and
incomprehension as well as their vitality and labor. Nor is it a problem of some
particular European nation. The problems are occurring in all of the European nations
that have substantial Islamic populations. |
The fear that globalization might exacerbate the tensions among peoples rather than allaying them is not just an idea that Huntington dreamed up in the 1990s." |
Massive immigrant flows strain the welfare state, create friction within a still fragile European Union, introduce a Muslim culture that is scornful of European secularism and faces no spiritual resistance to assertive Islamic beliefs.
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Debunking support for Muslim immigration: |
Caldwell easily debunks assertions of the economic benefits
of
mass Muslim immigration. Such assertions are based on very simplistic static
analysis and even as asserted come to remarkably little. |
It omits a host of obvious costs, as is usual with such
propaganda. It also omits the social,
spiritual and political effects that are huge with such massive immigration
flows. As many European nations respond by tightening immigration laws, there is
no evidence that they are suffering any economic loss. |
Immigrants move out of such low-wage work as soon as possible, creating a requirement for new flows of immigrants. Nations can become addicted to immigrant flows. |
The assertion that immigrants do the work Europeans don't
want to do is similarly weak. Often, the unattractiveness of the job is its low wage which would
have to rise in the absence of immigrant labor. Moreover, immigrants move out of
such low-wage work as soon as possible, creating a requirement for new
flows of immigrants. Nations can become addicted to immigrant flows unless they
permanently restrict economic possibilities for immigrant advancement. |
The vast majority of immigrants from third world countries come to Europe for reasons other than to find work. They seek asylum or family reunification or simply overstay visas. |
Most French and British imams
were on welfare when Caldwell was writing his book. In the Netherlands, 40%
of immigrants were already getting some form of government assistance. The vast majority of immigrants from third world
countries come to Europe for reasons other than to find work. They seek asylum
or family reunification or simply overstay visas.
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Europe is paralyzed by its ambivalent spiritual and moral attitudes.
Ironically, most of the industries that the
immigrants were originally brought in to work in were on their last legs and are
now gone. Linen mills and textile mills and coal mines were soon gone, while modern manufacturing has been increasingly automated. The suction of
temporary economic problems left permanent demographic change. Now, masses of
unemployed immigrants trouble many cities. This, of course, does not apply to
skills-based immigration. |
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Caldwell draws an analogy with 19th century China and the Ottoman
Empire. Europeans were attracted to them because they were both rich and
"too weak and disorganized to look out for themselves." Admiration was
not part of the recipe. |
The morass of mores and laws that have confounded policy response is sketched by Caldwell. By 2000, the reuniting of families from various conflict zones brings millions of refugee migrants into Europe. As asylum laws are toughened, migrants quickly learn how to game the system and fit into favored categories. Enforcement is practically nonexistent. Perhaps as many as 80% of rejected asylum seekers simply stay on illegally.
Caldwell draws an analogy with 19th century China and the Ottoman
Empire. Europeans were attracted to them because they were both rich and
"too weak and disorganized to look out for themselves." Admiration was
not part of the recipe. |
Virtue for the newcomers is precisely pride in and concern for the ethnic, religious and tribal or national loyalties from their native lands. Their faith includes intolerance and contempt for European values. |
Similarly, Muslim immigrants come because Europe is rich, not
because it is admirable. They come because Europe is too weak and disorganized
to keep them out.
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The propaganda war:
There is a contradiction between the virtues of assimilation and diversity. |
The intellectual contortions used to defend universalism in all its
multifarious forms are often ludicrous. The epithet "political
correctness" is being used but doesn't do justice to its vast incoherence.
There is bumbling censorship of things like statues and animal pictures that
might offend Muslims. There is an essential contradiction between the virtues of
assimilation and those of diversity. Yet defenders of immigration had to assert
both to sustain public support and calm public fears. |
Even worse is the sense of intimidation as Islamist factions make a virtue of violent reprisal against perceived offense. |
Freedom of expression is under assault not only by efforts to
impose self censorship but periodically by more official efforts. Even worse is
the sense of intimidation as Islamist factions make a virtue of violent reprisal
against perceived offense. (Caldwell certainly hit the nail on the head with
this observation.)
Even attacks against radical Islam can be subject to litigation under laws against incitement to racial hatred. Caldwell emphasizes an NGO suit targeting an "incendiary" attack against Islamist violence. Even though the suit was unsuccessful, "it opened the question of whether there was any language in which one could criticize Islamist violence without finding oneself in a courtroom."
The Muslim ghetto riots in 2005 are piously attributed to rebellion
against social conditions. But the rioters themselves chanted slogans and
explained their cause against France and Frenchness in ethno-religious terms
that could have drawn outrage against "fascisim" if Germans in Germany
had done the same. |
Europeans have abandoned their nationalistic past while accepting with "childish credulity" the "justice and nobility of exotic political causes."
The immigrants approach life with "aspirations," the European with "deference and restraint." |
Public discussion about immigration has thus been muffled if not yet muzzled. Euphemism is required, and participants in the dispute walk a minefield of social and even legal penalties. Thus, only foreigners were permitted to espouse national and religious claims. Europeans would be accused of nationalism, racism or xenophobia for the same conduct. Europeans have abandoned their nationalistic past while accepting with "childish credulity" the "justice and nobility of exotic political causes."
Europeans are becoming second class citizens in their own countries, Caldwell asserts. They are criticized for wearing the cross in places where the head scarf and hijab are welcomed. Cohesive minority groups were having disproportionate influence on local government. The immigrants approach life with "aspirations," the European with "deference and restraint."
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Not only are Muslims not assimilating, second and third generation Muslim immigrants are increasing their segregated status. They are creating self-governing settlements throughout Europe. |
It is true that immigrants, including Muslim immigrants, have
moved into many rotting neighborhoods in major European cities and rescued them
from decay. More often, however, Caldwell points out, Muslims have gathered into
ghettoes apart from the Europeans, and have created a separate "parallel
society" at variance with liberal European values and established culture.
Their children do not always find European culture superior to that of their
parents.
Muslim ghettos, as might be expected, are more violent and crime
ridden than Europe is used to. Muslims increasingly fill European prisons.
Intellectual apologists desperately seek ways to blame society for these events
so as not to confront the problems. |
Riots break out on the slightest pretext, and often without any pretext. There is a widespread expectation that violence will keep rising. Youths in the ghettoes are increasingly arming themselves in preparation for the next opportunity to riot. Europeans are regretfully coming to realize that entire immigrant populations "no longer feel they are part of this country."
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Europeans no longer expect assimilation. They now only expect the
foreigners to obey the law. The immigrants are not expected to become Europeans.
Caldwell points out how they root during international soccer and cricket
matches. Even the second and third generation offspring root against their host
country. & Of course, the Muslim immigrants are a highly diverse group, with many nationalities and tribal and sectarian loyalties. There are as many and as vicious antagonisms among them as among pre-WW-I Europeans. & |
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Immigrant offspring seek their identity in their religion and forget the divisions of their parents' world. Television no longer assimilates them into the host nation culture. "It assimilates them into globalized Islam." |
However, those differences are what disappears in the offspring of Muslim immigrants. They seek their identity in their religion and forget the divisions of their parents' world. Television no longer assimilates them into the host nation culture. "It assimilates them into globalized Islam."
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Jihad:
Hundreds of European Muslims have traveled to the Middle East and Africa to join the fight, including fights against NATO and U.S. forces. |
Large majorities of Muslim immigrants identify with Muslims involved in conflicts with non-Muslims all around the periphery of the Muslim world. Hundreds (now thousands) of European Muslims have traveled to the Middle East and Africa to join the fight, including fights against NATO and U.S. forces.
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Many of the imams are anti-European - sometimes violently antagonistic. A wide variety of extremist groups with ties to militant groups in the Middle East thrive in Europe. |
Money from Saudi Arabia and other Middle Eastern states support mosques and imams in Europe. Many of the imams are anti-European - sometimes violently antagonistic. A wide variety of extremist groups with ties to militant groups in the Middle East thrive in Europe.
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Europe's response:
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Europe is meeting this increasingly violent rejection by extraordinary efforts to accommodate the immigrants. This policy appears to be a mistake.
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Muslim immigrants and their poorly educated offspring lack the skills and cultural background to succeed in an economy that is increasingly service-oriented. |
It is not enough to avoid claims of European bias and "Islamophobia."
High unemployment rates and low wage jobs breed resentment in Muslim
immigrant offspring. Their inability to fit comfortably in Europe leads
inevitably to disappointment and then anger. |
There is no reciprocity in inter-religious dialogue. It is always the Christian that accommodates the Muslim agenda. |
An "adversary culture" is increasingly being formed
within Europe by Muslim immigrants. Their offspring are heavily - and
successfully - indoctrinated in a Muslim identity that has an adversary
relationship with Europe - and with every other culture all around Muslim
world borders.
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Inevitably, it has been the most radical and religiously passionate people and groups that take control of Muslim organizations and "speak" for the Muslim communities. Caldwell provides an extensive review of the problems involved in dealing with Muslims through various organizations.
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The threat of violence and murder, made all too real by several prominent examples, broadly chills criticism. Social pressures. too, are applied when critics rather than rioters are blamed for riots. |
Militant Muslims are not waiting for legal protection. Muslims increasingly demand legal protection against all overt
opposition.
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European secularism triumphed after centuries of sometimes violent opposition to Christian clerisies and persistent criticism and ridicule of doctrine. There will be no violent secular opposition to Muslim clerics and Europe is busy finding ways to squelch all criticism and ridicule of their doctrines. Criticism of Islam is being put on the same level as anti-Semitism as Europe scrambles to justify submission to Muslim demands for protection against criticism.
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As mainstream political parties lost ground, parties with anti-immigrant policies were already growing. They often also offer anti-EU policies as popular support for the EU itself withers, much to the dismay of the governing elites who are prone to ignore popular sentiments. |
Opposition to Muslim immigration comes in various forms and has its own militants. Of little political impact as of the writing of this book, it was however already a growing force. Immigration laws and practices were already being tightened throughout the EU. As mainstream political parties lost ground, parties with anti-immigrant policies were already growing. They often also include anti-EU policies as popular support for the EU itself withers, much to the dismay of the governing elites who are prone to ignore popular sentiments. Moreover, immigration issues roil national politics in a wide variety of ways.
Governing elites respond with the standard affirmative action plans to increase diversity and integrate minorities into society. These policies create new problems even as they respond to existing problems. The European immigration problem is much more than a mere problem of economic and political equality.
The unintended consequence for Europeans is that increasingly powerful threats to cultural and democratic values are arriving with the immigrants.
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Europe, coming out of the horrors of WW-II, is in "an age of public atonement and rhetorical squeamishness" that constrains its response to current massive immigration flows.
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The legal aspects of EU immigration problems are reviewed
by Caldwell, along with the factors limiting the likelihood and degree of Muslim
assimilation in the various European states. He speculates on the cultural and
political responses likely among Europeans. |
The failure of assimilation:
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To control
Muslim immigrant behavior, the rights of all are being compromised. To get rid of the Muslim veil
and other religious feminine
garb, France imposed restrictions on all obvious religious garb. The editor of a
Danish publication put it bluntly: The price for
managing Islam would be paid in rights. |
Muslim women are making headway in Western education and economic prospects while the men lag far behind - leading to a frustrating role reversal. There is the perception of the "gelding" of Muslim men. |
Subordination of Muslim women cannot be tolerated
in Europe, but is nevertheless maintained in mosques and other spaces dominated
by Muslim Europeans. However, Muslim women are making headway in Western
education and economic prospects while the men lag far behind - leading to a
frustrating role reversal. There is the perception of the "gelding" of
Muslim men. |
Most European Muslims from across the Middle East choose to take their spouses from abroad. This accelerates the growth of European Muslim communities and is evidence of "a collective choice against assimilation" even after several generations. |
Sharia law and marriage practices offer both elements that Europeans
consider intolerable and others that can be accommodated at least on a
contractual basis. Religious "courts" as arbitration entities subject
to Western laws are commonplace and are generally acceptable to the extent they
don't contradict European laws or predominant practices or reflect militant or
violent tendencies. |
Political influence:
They vote as a block and could shift political concerns to Muslim issues. |
Muslim immigrant numbers are now sufficient to
have a political impact. Like many immigrant communities, they vote as a block
and could shift political concerns to Muslim issues. |
Honor killings are used to control Muslim women, violence threatens free speech practices with respect to religious controversy and dominates competition for converts.
The line between legitimate dissent and active subversion of European policies is far from clear cut. |
Most Muslims participate peacefully in European politics and the
economy, but a significant minority favor violent responses to perceived
religious slights. High birth rates leading to a high percentage of young men in the population
is a recognized cause of conflict that characterizes most Muslim populations. |
Hundreds of anti-Semitic attacks by European Muslims occur each year. |
Opposition to Israel and its policies towards the Palestinians
is widespread in Europe, but is being used by European Muslims as an excuse for
attacking European Jews. Hundreds of anti-Semitic attacks by European Muslims
occur each year. (These attacks have continued and have turned deadly.) Israel
was increasingly being blamed for the widespread Muslim terrorist threats. & |
Muslim doublespeak: & |
Many Muslim "moderates" offer peace from terrorism if
Europe surrenders values. Like "land for peace," the demand is for a
concrete sacrifice in exchange for something that is "vague, subjective,
and revocable." |
Even when not threatening violence, the West is being warned that if it does not change "in accordance with Muslim wishes, violence will somehow befall it." |
Many Muslim clerics use deceptive language designed to sound moderate to Western ears but that has militant meanings for Muslims. Even when not threatening violence, the West is being warned that if it does not change "in accordance with Muslim wishes, violence will somehow befall it."
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Many Muslim clerics view the West as decadent and in inevitable decline, inevitably to be supplanted by Islam. Islam will adopt only the useful Western technological innovations, not its "values."
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