FUTURECASTS JOURNAL
Inheritors of the Earth
by
Chris D. Thomas
January, 2018 |
The Anthropocene epoch: |
The politically and
ideologically fraught debate over human ecological impacts receives
some much needed context from Chris D. Thomas in "Inheritors of the Earth:
How Nature is Thriving in an Age of Extinction." |
The vast majority of living creatures are robust enough not only to accommodate their changing environments but to take advantage of the human-created opportunities
Much of the losses are among creatures that had been living in protected niches suddenly exposed to new stresses, competition and predation. |
There are real losses that
Thomas does not minimize. However, the vast majority of living creatures are
robust enough not only to accommodate their changing environments but to take
advantage of the human-created opportunities to spread to new regions. In the process,
they are adapting rapidly to new conditions, often hybridizing with closely
related new contacts and even accelerating the long process of evolving new
species. |
Many Harlequin frog species in Central and South America have disappeared apparently due in part to diseases spread by the warming climate.
There are many examples of insects and small creatures that were once spread widely about the earth but that now survive only in protected niches. |
Global warming threatens a wide variety of creatures. African hairy mountain geladas may be pushed ever higher up their mountain ranges by a warming climate. The Ethiopian wolf and the giant mole rats that they eat are also likely to be pushed ever higher. The mole rats do not thrive in warmer climes, and the wolves do not thrive among humans and their dogs, so the wolves must follow the rats ever higher up their mountain habitat.
Will they be able to adapt? A survey of
moths in Borneo revealed that certain creatures will indeed have trouble
adapting to these types of stresses. Many Harlequin frog species in Central and
South America have disappeared apparently due in part to diseases spread by the
warming climate. Many are trapped. Their only hope may be human intervention to
place them in more hospitable habitats. |
"Biological communities are transient." Species are threatened only if they cannot move. All species are interlopers where they now exist. |
Many creatures have demonstrated a surprising capacity to move in response to changing conditions. It is clear that "many species currently live in places where they happen to survive, rather than where they originally evolved." Indeed, "the biological world has been turned on its head repeatedly since the last ice age."
"Biological communities are
transient." Species are threatened only if they cannot move. All species
are interlopers where they now exist. "Any attempt by humans to keep things
just as they are is utterly pointless." |
The previous trickle of species successfully taking advantage of human-created opportunities is becoming a torrent. Thomas provides numerous illustrative examples. New species have been arriving at least as fast as previous occupants are disappearing. |
At present, the gains to the diversity of life around the world far exceeds the losses. The previous trickle of species successfully taking advantage of human-created opportunities is becoming a torrent. Thomas provides numerous illustrative examples. New species have been arriving at least as fast as previous occupants are disappearing. Agricultural lands and urban areas still average about 60 per cent of the species that previously inhabited them while accommodating a variety of new arrivals..
For example, California has lost its ice age giants and
many others of the species preserved in the La Brea tar pits, but it has
gained in the last four hundred years European rabbits, two species of
squirrel, house mouse, two rats, Barbary sheep, fallow deer, wild boars,
pheasant, turkey, starling, house sparrow, brown-headed cowbird, and numerous
insects and slugs as well as domestic animals. |
Birder, plant and butterfly hunter counts imply that "the total number of species in a mixture of ecosystems is likely to be greater than if an entire area was covered by one type of vegetation." |
Where there is a mixture of human altered habitat and
preserved habitat, the species population may be considerably increased. Birder, plant and butterfly hunter counts
imply that "the total number of species in a mixture of ecosystems is
likely to be greater than if an entire area was covered by one type of
vegetation." While
this is not the case in the American Midwest or parts of Northern Europe, most
agricultural areas around the world include a wide variety of current and former
farmland and remaining and wild habitats. |
The Vale of York: |
Thomas resides in the Vale
of York, now dominated by industry and agriculture. Nevertheless it is alive with thriving
wild creatures, many of which are recent arrivals. |
The biological community has been completely changed at least four times in the last fifteen thousand years and at least forty times in the last million years. Today, "new arrivals are turning up as the climate warms once more, changing the biological community again." |
The Vale of
York was previously occupied by a lake, then sand dunes, steppe, wetland, forest, and
finally human farm land and field margins. The biological community has been completely changed at least four
times in the last fifteen thousand years and at least forty times in the last
million years. Today, "new arrivals are turning
up as the climate warms once more, changing the biological community
again."
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Evolution in the human-altered environment:
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There are numerous "opportunists" thriving in the Anthropocene. Few of these species would have lived in the original forest. It is the same in almost all the habitable parts of the Earth.
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Even the Lake Maggiore region in the Swiss Alps has a record of massive ecological change. |
Man has massively altered the environment everywhere. Thomas covers in some detail tropical forests, ancient agricultural regions, coastal forests, the realms of hunter-gatherers, agricultural prairies, all of which have experienced centuries and even millennia of human impacts. The transformations are both ancient and truly global. Even the Lake Maggiore region in the Swiss Alps has a record of massive ecological change. "It is a human-altered land" now hosting plants and animals from all over the world.
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Many species are thriving. Their existence somewhat counters the "paradigm of biological decline."
The vast majority of species manage to survive, resulting in an increase in diversity. With the exception of some small islands and isolated bits of land, "diversity has grown in nearly all regions of the world." |
The processes
of ecological change and species evolution have been accelerated, but are
nothing new. While some species don't make it, others adapt to take advantage of
new opportunities by evolving new capabilities. Many species are thriving. Their
existence somewhat counters the "paradigm of biological decline." |
Most new species arrivals do not displace any native species. The norm is that "immigration usually increases species diversity." |
Humans have carried a wide variety of species to new environments, "from horses to hippos, pigeons to pythons, lobsters to lionfish." Indeed, most new species arrivals do not displace any native species. The norm is that "immigration usually increases species diversity." Is there "an evolutionary yang to the yin of human impacts?"
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All creatures - including humans - are hybrids.
Animals transported to new environments are developing new characteristics that may eventually result in their evolution into new species. The evolutionary processes are on a much grander scale but quite similar to those on island archipelagos like the Hawaiian Islands or Darwin's Galapagos Islands. It is a new Great Global Interchange. |
The process of hybridization and
the often irrational response of conservationists to recent examples is
covered at some length by Thomas. Indeed,
all creatures - including humans - are hybrids, he emphasizes.
|
Size, physical characteristics such as dietary characteristics, birds beaks, and chromosomal arrangements have diverged with great rapidity in small rapidly breeding creatures. |
The pace of species differentiation into new species is astounding. Thomas discusses the California star thistles and the Italian sparrow and the fruit flies and their predator fruit fly wasps. Size, physical characteristics such as dietary characteristics, birds beaks, and chromosomal arrangements have diverged with great rapidity in small rapidly breeding creatures. Hybridization remains possible but becomes increasingly difficult over time among such differentiating species.
|
Conservation confusion: |
Conservationist efforts to keep things as unchanged as possible
are
untenable, Thomas asserts. |
The world already exists as a human altered environment. "We have to work with natural biological processes, not against them."
Oak, lime, beech and hornbeam trees were banished from the frigid European prairie but survived in hospitable southern European niche environments to become the dominant and invaluable species of today.
Useful medicinal products and chemicals have repeatedly been derived from obscure species of plants and fungi and microbes. |
"Humans are a part of nature," he emphasizes. The world already exists as a human altered environment. "We have to work with natural biological processes, not against them."
Many of the species most widespread and useful today narrowly escaped extinction during the last ice age by retreating to confined niches, Thomas points out. "Rare species becoming common and common species becoming rare is not a human-created phenomenon." Examples include the alpine clough and British dung beetle that were widespread in the frigid climate while oak, lime, beech and hornbeam trees were banished from the frigid European prairie but survived in hospitable southern European niche environments to become the dominant and invaluable species of today.
Useful medicinal products and chemicals have repeatedly been derived from obscure species of plants and fungi and microbes.
|
"Why should we not aspire to a world where it is as legitimate to facilitate new gains as it is to avoid losses?" |
There is no need to be shackled by the pessimism-laden, loss-only view currently
dominating much of the environmental movement. "Why should we not aspire to
a world where it is as legitimate to facilitate new gains as it is to avoid
losses?" Among the numerous examples provided by Thomas are the Monterey
pine trees endangered in coastal California and Australian blue gum trees
originally confined to Tasmania and southern Australia. Both have been
intentionally spread by man to a wide variety of suitable locations around the
world where they now comprise important woodland resources. |
Thomas calls the sparrow "inheritor number one of the human-altered earth."
The human response to the sparrow amply demonstrates that conservation strategy
lacks both consistency and logic. |
The Bactrian sparrow of Asia provides
a prime example of how human agricultural developments over the millennia
followed by the spread of human buildings opened irresistible opportunities that
enabled a wild creature to spread around the world. Thomas calls the sparrow "inheritor number one of the
human-altered earth."
The population decline in England apparently ended about 2000 and has
been traced to changes in agricultural practices and modern building
construction that impact their food sources and nesting sites. The sale of both
sparrow traps and nesting boxes are profitable businesses in the United States.
The human response to the sparrow amply demonstrates that conservation strategy
lacks both consistency and logic. |
The spread of the "foreign" American ruddy duck to Europe
was not intentional. It and its hybrids are viewed as a menace to the
"native" European white-headed duck which is actually not
"native" to Europe. Conservationists and their
numerous august associations have declared war on the ruddy duck and its hybrids
and have decreed that they must all be exterminated. |
|
Similarly, the arrival in
New Zealand of black-and-white pied stilts from Australia - apparently on their
own wings - is viewed as a threat to the "native" black stilts. The
newcomers and their hybrids are being attacked by conservationists even though the primary
threat to the black stilts seems to be the arrival of new predators that the
foreign and hybrid stilts seem to be better at avoiding. |
The "mini-mass" extinction:
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Conservationists seem to take a particularly dim view of biological
success stories when "successful 'foreign' species have the temerity to
interbreed with 'native' residents" that often themselves were alien
transplants of previous times. The populations of each of these
"foreign" species - whether mammal, insect, snail, mussel, worm or
plant species - are now more widespread and numerous than before, but their
success is seldom celebrated. |
The populations of each of these "foreign" species are now more widespread and numerous than before, but their success is seldom celebrated. |
These successes are all just examples of the broad movement of life on earth coping with and adapting to the impacts of humanity, Thomas asserts. The world contains both winners and losers. "There is no correct state of nature." Why should humans act as referees and arbiters of how nature should be? Yet massive sums are now spent in the attempt to keep "invasive" species at bay and maintain existing species in their present locations.
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Fresh immigrants provide a counterbalance that results in an increase in plant and animal diversity in most major regions of the earth. |
"The extinction crisis is real," Thomas affirms.
However, fresh immigrants provide a counterbalance that results in an increase
in plant and animal diversity in most major regions of the earth. |
The losses are not yet as great as during the five recognized mass extinction events of the past when more that three quarters of all then existing species disappeared.
The species that succeed tomorrow are already living among us. |
This "mini mass extinction" is
virtually instantaneous in terms of geological time. The losses are not yet as great as during the five recognized mass
extinction events of the past when more that three quarters of all then existing
species disappeared, but the losses directly attributable to the arrival of
modern man are already quite extensive. |
An unexpected beneficiary is the surviving game animals and birds that are no longer needed for food and are sometimes accorded protected status.
Once we stop killing them, large animals come back, rejoining the 90-plus percent of smaller ones that never disappeared in the first place." |
The survivors of today include plants and animals found useful by
man. There is a lengthening list of useful animals, plants and fungi that
man protects or domesticates. They exist in staggering numbers and variety. It
is "bonanza time" for animals that can consume human tended plants.
Counting humans and their animals and birds, "the Anthropocene is just as
much an age of mammals and birds as it ever was."
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Everything from moths to trees, amphibians, reptiles, and plants are on the move. Fish, marine plankton and shell fish are moving towards the polls. "Animals are moving towards the polls at about 17 kilometers a decade." |
The movement of creatures about the earth is covered at some length by Thomas. He features a variety of butterflies, bees and birds now newly arrived in the Vale. Around the world, everything from moths to trees, amphibians, reptiles, and plants are on the move. Fish, marine plankton and shell fish are moving towards the polls. "Animals are moving towards the polls at about 17 kilometers a decade."
At least two thirds of all species now live in new habitats. There
are few truly "native" species. |
A warmer, wetter world should actually increase in biological diversity. "Foreign" species are a threat primarily in niche habitats. Species trapped in small niches may need human help to reach new habitats. |
Water is the most obvious limiting factor. While a warming
climate should be wetter overall, deserts and dry lands will expand in places.
Coral reefs are threatened by acidic water as well as warmer water. Extinction
events have been accelerated by the movement of 'invasive" species by or
with man into previously protected habitats. |
Killer conservationists: |
New Zealand has a plethora of endangered species. New Zealand
has undertaken extensive efforts to sustain them. They attempt to repress
invasive and competing creatures and keep out others. There is considerable
scientific interest in the threatened species and considerable public support for
conservation efforts. |
Native creatures that live nowhere else include a variety of parrots
and tuatara reptiles, native plants and "unreasonably large" snails
and giant insects. The South Island takahe flightless bird has been moved to
small islands where it has apparently never previously lived. European-origin
grassland plants recently introduced to the islands are included in its diet, but alien predators
and competitors have been cleared away. Rats, mice, feral dogs, possums, cats,
stoats, weasels, and resident humans have been eliminated or removed. |
Shelter islands and mainland cages are too small to support viable populations, so protected creatures must be continuously moved back and forth to maintain reasonably sized populations. Such "unstable" ecological systems must be defended indefinitely. |
"New Zealand conservationists have become world leaders in
extermination." They are building predator-proof fences around some
mainland areas and eliminating the predators and competitors within them. Civic
organizations roam the land to poison and trap un-caged areas. |
"Foreign species hardly ever cause native species to become extinct from entire continents." Roughly just one in a thousand newly arrived species causes a real issue for native animals and plants. The importation of new species "almost always increases the numbers of species in any given location." |
There are more different kinds of vertebrates in New Zealand today
than before humans arrived, twice as many plants and hosts of imported insects,
most of which are not going away. Thomas somewhat unrealistically suggests that
instead of wasting efforts on New Zealand's losers, efforts might be better directed
towards establishing hardy replacements using species from elsewhere. (This
suggestion is unlikely to capture sympathy from the New Zealand public.) |
Accelerated evolutionary divergence and speciation: |
The world has become a "New Pangea,"
with man responsible for the mixing of plants and animals from all over
the world. The survivors will include the very ordinary creatures that
are today all around us. "Look out of your window and the chances
are that you will be staring at the future." |
Thomas highlights the extraordinary pace of
evolutionary changes in dogs and some species of butterfly. Fish are getting
smaller and breeding faster. "Evolution is not necessarily a slow
process." Unfortunately, flightless birds cannot evolve wings that work or
change vestigial wings back to forelimbs.
Human "artificial selection" can be seen in cattle, pigs,
sheep, llama and horses as well as dogs and the domesticated rock dove (pigeon).
Cabbage varieties now include turnips, Napa cabbage, rapini, field mustard, and
mizuna. Peppers are another example of the extraordinary scope and speed of
human-driven evolution. They all make use of vast genetic libraries. |
The capacity to digest milk is one change that is visibly now in midstream. The ability to digest starch, carbohydrates and fats varies with differences in human genetic makeup and territorial background.
Science writers and natural historians "report each new example" of rapid evolutionary adaptation "with a sense of shock and amazement." Scientists milk the discoveries for publicity, ecologists and conservationists "find it convenient to treat species as if they are fixed entities." |
Humans, themselves, are evolving in response to human alterations in
the environment. A variety of food "allergies" demonstrate the process
and pace of evolutionary change. The capacity to digest milk is one change that
is visibly now in midstream. The ability to digest starch, carbohydrates and
fats varies with differences in human genetic makeup and territorial background. Differences in taste and
tooth enamel exhibit human evolution in process.
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Life on Earth is a dynamic process. We must accept change, retain flexibility to respond to future change by preserving endangered species - - - and only rarely by waging war on interlopers. |
Change is at the center of Thomas philosophy. Life on Earth is a
dynamic process. We must accept change, retain flexibility to respond to future
change by preserving endangered species often by relocation and only rarely by
waging war on interlopers. |
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