BOOK REVIEW
The Grabbing Hand
by
Andrei Shleifer and Robert W. Vishny
FUTURECASTS online magazine
www.futurecasts.com
Vol. 3, No. 6, 6/1/01.
The Politics of Good Governance
Governance: |
The importance of good governance -
governance that facilitates profit driven market directed commerce - is once
again an important part of a FUTURECASTS book review. "The Grabbing Hand: Government Pathologies and their Cures," by Andrei Shleifer and Robert W.
Vishny, examines the role of governance factors in economic development and
prosperity. & |
Politicians do not maximize social welfare and instead pursue their own selfish objectives. |
This is another one of those
academic books that sets forth conclusions drawn from previously written academic
articles - in this case fairly recent articles written during the 1990s -
that comprise the bulk of the book. It criticizes both the "helping
hand" and "invisible hand" models of economic policy, and argues
that these should be replaced by a "grabbing hand" model that
recognizes the centrality of politics and political considerations in government
economic policy. The basic premise is: "Politicians do not maximize social
welfare and instead pursue their own selfish objectives." & |
The "invisible hand" or "laissez-faire" model fails to deal with reality, the authors correctly point out. They complain that it ignores politics, and so fails to generate viable strategies for the adoption of successful economic policies.
A "helping hand" model - recognizing the obvious instances of
"market failure" and the need for government economic interventions - was set forth most notably by Richard A. Musgrave
and Joseph E. Stiglitz. This model stresses such market failures as monopoly
pricing, environmental and social "external costs" such as pollution
and unemployment, failure of regional development, and defective credit supply
to firms.
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By focusing squarely on politics as
the determinant of government behavior, the authors' "grabbing hand"
model asserts the primacy of political strategy in any debate about economic
policy. It is a skeptical view - like the "invisible hand" model -
"but describes more accurately what governments actually do and therefore
focuses more constructively on the design of reforms." Reforms recommended
by this "grabbing hand" model generally support methods of limiting
predatory government economic
interventions.
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The strong tendencies towards government abuse of economic policy - and the importance of devising political strategies to limit those abuses - are thus the primary emphasis of this book. It is designed to "examine the consequences for resource allocation of the choices of policies and institutions made by the political actors, and to consider the cures for the adverse consequences of excessive political power." |
Political strategies: |
Political strategies designed to
build coalitions in support of reforms that roll back state obstacles to
commerce are emphasized. Tax cuts, disinflation, removal of obstacles to entrepreneurship,
"depoliticization" of economic decisions affecting growth and productivity, and
facilitation of financial markets are all desirable policies, but cannot be
implemented without appropriate political strategies and broad supporting
coalitions. & |
It is not enough to
just advocate the privatization of publicly owned or directed economic
entities, they stress. The political methods needed to support such policies - to facilitate their
success and subsequently maintain those policies - must also be implemented.
Thus, it is not enough to privatize troubled state owned or directed banks and
free them from political interference. It is also vital to encourage widespread public ownership
and offer cheap equity interests to employees to make
further nationalization or political interference more difficult. Troubled
loans incurred under political direction should be assumed by government to give the banks a chance to succeed. |
Economic problems in Russia: |
Russia and its current economic policy
problems provide an obvious and interesting case in point. The authors note a
"chicken and egg" problem. & |
The transition from a communist government to a government that supports a market economy - that is dedicated to facilitating commerce - is as essential as the transition from government to private ownership. |
Privatization was obviously not effective
in the absence of institutions that protect property rights and provide a modern
commercial law framework. However, without property owners and a business class
to support them, it was politically impossible to establish institutions to
protect property rights and facilitate commerce. Thus, it was decided to barge
ahead with privatization anyway, in the hope that over time, support for
property rights and the good governance needed to facilitate commerce would
become sufficiently established to have a predominant impact.
These include jobs for political supporters, services at subsidized prices for allies, resources directed not for economic efficiency but for the benefit of friends and allies, and regulatory powers used to create rents for allies and bribes for themselves. |
Political transition
policies must be designed to remove the levers of economic power - and the control
of economic resources - from political control. They must be designed to create
the legal and administrative structures needed to facilitate market commerce. & |
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Legal and police protection of private property
rights - enforcement
of contracts - methods of exposing and punishing political corruption - and the regulatory apparatus
needed to facilitate market commerce (affecting such matters as antitrust
enforcement, securities, banking,
intellectual property, and open foreign trade) - have to be created and made
reasonably effective.
The slowness of political transition retards economic growth. |
Replacement of government control
with shareholder control in transition economies - especially under conditions
of market pricing and budgetary and monetary stabilization - brought rapid
improvements in economic efficiency - which were much faster for private firms
than for those still government owned. However, good governance is also
essential. Legal and police protection of private property rights - enforcement
of contracts - methods of exposing and punishing political corruption - and the regulatory apparatus
needed to facilitate market commerce (affecting such matters as antitrust
enforcement, securities, banking,
intellectual property, and open foreign trade) - have to be created and made
reasonably effective.
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Robust local politics and local political budgets dependent on a local tax base are essential. |
Strategies for facilitating successful transitions
are suggested. They include campaign support for noncommunist, market friendly politicians
- making local government dependent on the local tax base rather than on
handouts from above - and the expansion of private shareholdings. Indeed -
perhaps their most interesting point - the authors stress the importance of
robust local politics and local political budgets dependent on a local tax base. & |
In both Poland and China, local politicians are dependent on their local tax base, and so have considerable incentive to facilitate local economic growth. |
In
Russia, revenues flow down from Moscow to regional governors and then to local
political entities, providing little incentive for local politicians to be
concerned with growing the local tax base. In both Poland and China, local
politicians are dependent on their local tax base, and so have considerable
incentive to facilitate local economic growth.
"Industrial policy" recommendations are correctly ridiculed by the authors. "Russia needs a state focused on a different set of functions, rather than a bigger state doing more of what it already does so badly." They recommend:
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Political Factors Influencing Economic Development
Corruption:
Deregulation to eliminate opportunities for corruption is the fastest and most effective means to eliminate it. |
Corruption is a major obstacle to economic development. Trying to find and provide incentives for honest bureaucrats is difficult and slow. But deregulation to eliminate opportunities for corruption is much faster and more effective. "Deregulation and liberalization are far more important for fighting corruption than the improvement of incentives and personnel selection inside the bureaucracy." Where regulation is essential or unavoidable, it should be designed to give individual bureaucrats as little discretion as possible.
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Nations with higher levels of corruption have significantly lower rates of investment as a percentage of GDP. Change is unwelcome, since it may force changes in established corrupt arrangements.
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Corruption breeds on itself. Where government offices are
for sale, they are worth the most to the most corrupt agents. Where bribery can
cut the time and cost of government regulation, the corrupt competitor has an
advantage over the honest competitor.
In this way, too, multiparty elections provide benefits. The authors
point out that they substantially limit corruption. Also, the federalist nature
of government in the United States creates competition between states, thus
limiting the levels of taxation, fees, regulation, and corruption likely to be
imposed at the state and local level.
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Foreign aid: |
Foreign aid is recognized by the authors as
playing an effective political role even when it is an economic waste (as it
usually is). The economic impact of foreign aid is minor while the political
impact may be very substantial. Aid to Boris Yeltsin is justified on this basis. The authors advocate using aid to support economic and political
reformers. |
Rule of law: |
Property rights and rule based legal systems are essential ingredients in any program for economic development. Government institutions must provide protection against breaches by private parties and by government agencies as well. |
Absolute despotism: |
Despotic government generally undermines
economic development. The authors provide some interesting historic
analysis of the connection between economic prosperity and the avoidance
of absolute despotisms. & |
Despots actually had little incentive to take the long view with respect to the development of their states. They needed immediate resources to fend off threats from without and within. |
They cite the experience of Southern Italy, which
was more prosperous than Northern Italy until it was taken over by the
d'Hautevilles in the eleventh century. By 1500, that relationship was reversed
as the city states of Northern Italy successfully resisted conquest by a
centralizing power. Similar results occurred when the southern Low Countries
(Belgium) were conquered by the Hapsburgs, while the northern Low Countries
(Holland) successfully revolted in the 16th century.
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Rent seeking: |
The pervasive extent of "rent
seeking" and corrupt government offices has become an obvious problem
in many nations currently striving to establish market economic systems.
"Rent seeking" is defined by the authors as "any redistributive activity that
takes up resources." Bribes, taxes, fees, regulatory expenses, and similar
costs cut growth, attract talent from productive activities, and absorb labor. & |
Heavily regulated systems increase the opportunities for bribery and the rewards for rent seeking.
Tax reduction frees labor and capital resources for productive work. |
Talent is attracted into rent seeking positions instead of into entrepreneurial and other productive activities by heavily regulated and corrupt economic systems. Heavily regulated systems increase the opportunities for bribery and the rewards for rent seeking.
High levels of taxation slow economic growth. "[C]ountries
with smaller government consumption relative to GDP grow faster." Tax
reduction frees labor and capital resources for productive work.
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The authors analytical methods imply that there are only
two stable possibilities -- one where there is no rent seeking, and productive
returns are optimized - and the other where rent seeking drives down all
productive activity to subsistence levels. Anything in between is unstable,
because there remain positive returns for increases in rent seeking that invite further rent seeking until productive activities are reduced to
subsistence levels. "This may explain why countries find it so costly
to switch out of rent-seeking equilibria and often need major government or
institutional reform to do so." |
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A society whose institutions allow talented people to reap the rewards of entrepreneurship and innovation is likely to prosper, but a society whose talent flows to rent seeking rather than entrepreneurship reduces the level of income, but its more damaging effect is to lower the rate of innovation, technological progress, and growth.
Heavy rent seeking burdens increase the risks and decrease the rewards of enterprise. |
A legal system that protects property rights is recognized as a way out of this problem. Nevertheless, in their efforts to provide an econometric analysis of the problem, the authors use the numbers of engineering students and lawyers as proxies for determinants of entrepreneurial or rent seeking influences. They correlate large numbers of engineering students with an entrepreneurial environment, and large numbers of lawyers with a rent-seeking environment, in analyzing representative nations during the period from 1970 to 1985.
Nevertheless, the authors' general conclusion is obviously correct.
Innovation is particularly vulnerable to government rent seeking, since new businesses have few resources with which to clear the many regulatory hurdles that governments can impose. Established businesses that have loyally supported incumbent political leaders are often aided by governments against upstart competition. Heavy rent seeking burdens increase the risks and decrease the rewards of enterprise. |
Socialist Myth and Reality
Autocratic socialism: |
The portrayal of benevolent socialist central planners
grappling with the complexities of production and distribution is challenged by
the book. Instead, it assumes that socialist planners - like capitalists - are
self interested. & |
Efficient resource allocation thus is impossible under socialism rather than merely difficult, since it is not in the self interest of the socialist planners - who benefit from shortages and price distortions. Monopolistic output restrictions are thus far more likely under socialism than under capitalism. |
Efficient resource allocation thus becomes impossible
under socialism rather
than merely difficult, since it is not in the self interest of the socialist
planners - who benefit from shortages and price distortions. Monopolistic output
restrictions are thus far more likely under socialism than under capitalism.
Also, free market prices do not work without property rights. Without the right of the producers to keep the profits of commerce, market prices will not cure shortages.
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The elimination of shortages is thus practically impossible for socialist systems. This applies to both necessities and discretionary goods.
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The authors offer analytical models that demonstrate that a socialist industry's objective is to maximize the value of bribes. This is, unfortunately, frequently true. However, here, too, their analysis is far from convincing.
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The alternative to profit driven capitalism is bribery driven socialism. |
Nevertheless, here, too, the authors' assertions are persuasive. For the vast majority of socialist states and socialist industries in single party or autocratic states, their conclusion is obviously true.
Socialist industries not only have the widely recognized problem of
weak incentives to produce, they also suffer from powerful incentives to cut
both output and price to create shortages and maximize corrupt rent seeking
opportunities (bribes). The alternative to profit driven capitalism is bribery
driven socialism.
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The socialist price increases in the Soviet
Union in April, 1991, actually caused a reduction in supplies, the authors
point out, since the price
increases cut bribery opportunities and corrupt incentives to produce and distribute
goods. However, the freeing of prices in January, 1992, that resulted in much
larger price increases than in April, 1991, instantly resulted in store shelves
filled with goods and the elimination of queues. The difference was that, in
January, 1992, employees, managers and suppliers were permitted to keep
substantial shares of their profits. "The goods shifted from sale through
the back door to sale through the front door." |
The benevolent dictator fallacy: |
Benevolent dictator
assumptions are contradicted by both real world experience and strong
contrary incentives. Even secure monarchs do not maximize the efficiency of
their total estate, the authors point out. They are more interested in
maximizing the efficiency of their own revenues. & |
This explains tendencies towards mercantilism and the establishment of
monopolies. Where secrecy becomes important for a dictator and a ruling elite,
the collection of revenue from bribery requires shortages. |
Market socialism under multiparty democracy: |
Unfortunately, the prospects are little better under democratic
socialism. Even if democracy is possible when government controls all
economic power - and even in addition to the obvious implementation problems of
socialist management - the real objectives of government undermine the
possibilities for market socialism under democratic governments.| & |
The problems of public enterprises in Western Europe are cited.
Featherbedding and political favors are widespread. Neither majority
rule nor pressure group influence are conducive to economic efficiency. There
are frequent instances of majority tyranny over minority interests. However,
small interest groups with intense interests frequently triumph over very large
interests with diffuse interests.
The authors conclude:
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Strategies for Privatization
Inherent inefficiency of government management: |
Rationally implemented privatization invariably results
in massive improvement in economic efficiency. The theory that publicly owned
enterprises can more accurately reflect social marginal costs, maximize social
welfare, and reflect externalities, simply never shows up in practice. & |
The reality is that publicly owned enterprises are highly inefficient
due to a variety of political pressures. Nor do government enterprises cure
externalities. They are often the worst polluters, and favor political
supporters rather than the most needy. |
Featherbedding is cited as the most common inefficiency of public employment. It is far more obvious - and politically costly - for politicians to subsidize private firms as a means of maintaining employment than it is simply to forego the profits from public firms.
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Numerous examples of government owned enterprises
with operating costs about 50% higher than similar private firms - and some that
produce practically nothing yet exist to keep people on the payroll - are
provided. |
Privatization decisions: |
The factors that seem to influence the probability
of in house or contracting out decisions are analyzed. After much effort - and
admittedly dubious results - they unremarkably conclude that "politicians
give up their patronage benefits when they become too expensive."
Politicians do not willingly surrender their reigns of power. Factors of
ideology and efficiency also have some impact, but are apparently less
significant. & |
Of course, many opportunities for political
misdirection of cash flows remain even among private firms, the authors
recognize. Regulation,
subsidies, and tax breaks are widely used for such purposes. They offer an
analysis of "how reallocation of cash flow and control rights
[privatization] change outcomes."
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Copyright © 2001 Daniel Blatt