FUTURECASTS JOURNAL
Government Management
(with a review of "Why Government Fails So Often," by Peter H. Schuck. |
August, 2014
www.futurecasts.com
Ineptness of government management:
The U.S. Government does much that is right, but also much too much that is wrong. |
The strengths and weaknesses of government economic
management and the reasons for the weaknesses have been a FUTURECASTS theme
from its initial issues. Government
Futurecast begins with a review of the many things that the U.S. Government
does right with respect to economic management, before explaining its inherent
limitations. Indeed, as Bruce Scott explains in
Capitalism, Its Origins and Evolution as a System of Governance. capitalist
markets are actually the artificial creation of government and private
institutions and depend crucially on the policies that facilitate the
markets. |
The more economic responsibilities the U.S. Government takes on, the more ineptness it displays and the more its reputation plummets. |
Nevertheless, the ineptness of government management of economic entities and programs is inherent and obvious. Looking reality squarely in the eye, Peter H. Schuck, in "Why Government Fails So Often and How It Can Do Better," explains the many reasons for such failure and provides copious examples.
|
Schuck recognizes that public
discontent with the performance of government policy and programs constitutes a
major threat to efforts to use government for economic and social
purposes. He describes himself as a "militant
moderate" and "melioristic realist." |
|
It is not political gridlock that is responsible for the government's policy ineptness or that has caused the widespread and spreading disdain for Washington. Interest group politics and campaign contribution excesses play at most a minor role in policy failure, |
There are no magic bullet solutions, Schuck acknowledges. He cautions against the "Nirvana Fallacy:" comparing an existing situation with all its flaws with an idealized alternative. Because of widespread public skepticism, he favors the use of incremental tactics to deal with the government's management limitations and to reduce the risks of unintended consequences while continuing the expansion of government powers and responsibilities.
It is thus not political gridlock that is responsible for
the government's policy ineptness or that has caused the widespread and
spreading disdain for Washington. Interest group politics and campaign
contribution excesses play at most a minor role in policy failure, Schuck
affirms, although he concedes that: "Politics and self-interest, narrowly
conceived, contaminate everything." Political campaign contributions have
almost negligible political impact with respect to major campaigns and policies,
but are more influential on policy matters of only narrow concern. |
Leviathan:
& |
The shear complexity and opaqueness of policymaking in the U.S.
makes actual analysis of outcomes and the reasons for success or failure an
especially difficult business, Schuck warns. Skepticism should be the default
attitude when evaluating policy controversy. |
In the private sector, the markets ruthlessly weed out weakness, but failure seldom results in termination of government programs. "The facts about government performance are damning." |
Shuck concentrates on the major government programs, but
asserts that there is no reason to expect that his findings will not be
applicable broadly to the multitude of lesser programs. In the private sector,
the markets ruthlessly weed out weakness, but failure seldom results in
termination of government programs. "The facts about government performance
are damning."
|
Other moral hazard programs that encourage risk taking at the ultimate expense of the taxpayers and the disabling of market discipline include:
|
Government management problems: |
Government management problems are chronic and
structural. They become increasingly costly as the ambitions of national policies swell. |
Regulatory discipline displaces market disciplinary mechanisms, moral hazard credit guarantees displace credit market disciplines - with disastrous consequences during the Credit Crunch recession. |
Causes include program complexity and inadequacy, the time and expense of enforcement procedures and under-funded enforcement efforts. Government contracting has multiple weaknesses. Regulatory discipline displaces market disciplinary mechanisms. Moral hazard credit guarantees displace credit market disciplines - with disastrous consequences during the Credit Crunch recession.
|
Government managers have little incentive to deter fraud and abuse. When states administer programs that the federal government pays for, there is little incentive for administrative discipline.
College tuition assistance, health insurance programs, and housing subsidies designed to assist the poor and lower middle class have pushed up costs to the point where most of the middle class has become dependent on government support to access those markets. |
Failures of
program management are legion. There are over 150 trust fund programs that are
widely over-promised and under-funded and subject to abuse. Transplantable
kidneys frequently have to be discarded. The Veterans Administration health care
program has notorious problems. There are 53 overlapping programs to spur
entrepreneurship, 82 to improve teacher quality, 160 to support housing, and 47 job
training programs of dubious effectiveness. There are 209 programs to support science, math, engineering and technology
education, but education in these fields nevertheless remains clearly unsatisfactory.
|
Successes:
A whole class of successes that Schuck points to are in the nature of market facilitation policy. |
A few program successes are highlighted by Schuck.
|
Successes include:
|
Why government fails so often: |
A detailed explanation for government management ineptness is
provided by Schuck in the bulk of his 400 page book. It makes for dispiriting
reading. |
Yet the tools used by government for policy implementation keep increasing. Besides standard bureaucratic implementation there are:
|
The ineptness of government management increases inexorably. The
complexity of government decision-making is legend. |
|
There is no incentive for accurate evaluation of program effectiveness. |
Government managers have little incentive to deter fraud or abuse. Output
"products" may be hard to define, difficult to value, difficult to
evaluate as to quality, and generally produced without economic discipline and
the signals imposed by competition. Indeed, there is no incentive for accurate
evaluation of program effectiveness. |
Bureaucratic incentives generally favor program and budget expansion, sometimes undermining the effectiveness of core policies.
Government's theoretical understanding of complex social and economic problems may be compromised by numerous tangential considerations or may be just plain incompetent. |
Political considerations predominate and result in infeasible
objectives and costs that increase over time. Bureaucratic incentives generally
favor program and budget expansion, sometimes undermining the effectiveness of
core policies. Costs imposed on private entities are generally ignored or
disparaged although they are often the most significant policy costs. Unintended
consequences can be substantial. Agency implementation may be afflicted by
tunnel vision, resulting in damage to other government policies.
|
Policy is shaped by Constitutional checks and balances at the national and state levels, electoral procedures, the media, and the varied influences of a politically, economically and legally empowered civil society. |
A list of general reasons for program failure provided by Schuck covers both design and performance failures.
Above all, policy is shaped by Constitutional checks
and balances at the national and state levels, electoral imperatives and procedures, the
media, and the varied influences of a politically, economically and legally
empowered civil society. |
Bureaucratic structure:
& |
Characteristics that make the U.S.
"a difficult nation to govern effectively" are set forth by
Schuck. He provides about 35 pages describing the difficulties of judicial
lawmaking and policy making, much of which is sufficiently notorious so as to
not require inclusion in this review. |
While the private sector flattens its structures, government hierarchy continues to expand.
There are now "deputy deputy assistant secretaries," "associate deputy assistant secretaries," "deputy associate deputy administrators," and "chief of staff to the associate deputy assistant secretary." |
The administrative arm of government
resembles a Rube Goldberg apparatus. While the private sector energetically
flattens its hierarchical structure, government continues in the opposite
direction. |
Constitutional constraints and federalism severely dilute federal
influence. Policy frequently must pass through 89,500 units of state and local
governments. The nation still has a strong commitment to limited government.
Schuck cites the No Child Left Behind law, the Real ID Act, and the insurance
exchanges of the Affordable Care Act as primary examples of policymaking
difficulties. |
|
Policymaking at the state and local levels must be included in any analysis. Schuck provides a substantial list of agenda items dealt with primarily at state level, including term limits, voter registration, antismoking efforts, gun control, death penalty, working conditions, environmental standards, tax law, campaign finance, special education, energy deregulation, conservation, school choice, same-sex marriage, and bureaucracy reforms. State policy successes and failures can inform subsequent federal legislation.
|
Public response:
People impose competitive pressures to state and local policymaking by fleeing policy impositions. |
The ability of people and firms to "vote with their feet" has frequently thwarted social engineering policies. It applies competitive forces to state and local policymaking that the pertinent policymakers hate (but badly need).
|
The multifarious activities of civil society relieve or supplement governments with respect to many chores left to government in other nations. |
Black markets and gray markets undermine government regulatory and
tax programs. Such "informal" markets can amount to as much as 50%
of GDP in developing nations. Estimates for developed nations range from 9% in
the U.S. to as high as 18% in Europe. |
"Radical individualism" is much deplored by those with communitarian ideals. |
The U.S. is almost unique in the extent to which individual rights and
interests can take precedence over the communitarian interests promoted by
various public policy initiatives. This "radical individualism" is
much deplored by those with communitarian ideals. The conflicts frequently wind
up in the courts where individual interests are frequently protected against
government policy initiatives. It is the courts that enjoy the greatest level of
public approval among government institutions. |
Interest groups:
& |
A caliginous bog of varying and often
conflicting interests enmeshes government as it expands and undertakes an ever-increasing array of
programs. |
Interest groups contribute to, complicate and thwart policymaking in multifarious ways, and generally succeed in getting at least some of what they want. |
Interest groups have descended on Washington
like a plague
since 1961 in large part due to the expansion of the federal government policy
agenda. About 70% of interest group offices in Washington date from after 1960.
Interest groups contribute to, complicate and thwart policymaking in
multifarious ways, and generally succeed in getting at least some of what they
want. |
With recent antipoverty program initiatives, the disability program has pretty much reversed the employment gains from welfare reforms. |
The government's negative learning curve is demonstrated by, among
many other programs, federal
drought insurance that actually creates drought damage by making it profitable,
and the expansion of disability programs to cover minor ailments that has turned the
program into an invitation for fraud. With recent antipoverty program
initiatives, the disability program has pretty much reversed the employment gains from welfare
reforms. |
Other difficulties acknowledged by Schuck include the varying attitudes towards
inequality, religious and political moral claims, the unparalleled diversity of
society in the U.S., widespread skepticism about political and even technical
authorities, increasing influence of public opinion on "hot button"
issues, implementation issues, and the influence of a vast array of politically,
economically, and legally empowered civil society groups. Schuck explains each
of these factors at some length. |
A surfeit of management problems:
& |
Irrationality afflicts the decision-making processes
of both public officials and electorates. Schuck reviews some of the
growing scholarship on this subject. While these factors also apply to
market participants, markets quickly punish and limit irrational
decision-making whereas politics often entrenches it. Ideological bias
afflicts all parts of the political spectrum. |
Politics, costs, complexity and delay often undermine the
benefits of even regulatory efforts designed to facilitate market mechanisms.
Schuck mentions Dodd-Frank and other financial disclosure requirements,
antitrust law enforcement, medicinal drug and other safety regulations,
inefficiency in infrastructure and other public works,
partial deregulation of banking and finance that reduced regulatory oversight
while continuing to disable market disciplinary mechanisms. |
Resistance to reform:
Needed reforms are determinedly resisted. |
The Postal Service is cited by Schuck as a prime example of
the destructiveness and rigidity of government decision-making processes.
Needed entitlement reforms are also determinedly avoided. Imposing discipline
on government employees is extraordinarily difficult, and affects performance broadly. |
Only markets have the ability "to elicit and process" and make use of vast aggregations of diverse and opaque information. Markets remain the most effective - often the only effective - means of organizing and motivating human activity. |
Schuck lists a number of notoriously anachronistic policies that
resist repeal or reform, including farm subsidies, numerous tax code
provisions, Merchant Marine Act requirements, the ethanol program, and
even acceptable safety levels for water supply fluoridation. Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac remain in existence and financial regulators struggle to keep
abreast of rapid changes in financial markets. Legacy policies powerfully
constrain policymaking, especially under the Constitutional system that
provides numerous opportunities for obstructing reforms and new initiatives. |
Performance criteria: |
Profits and sales provide objective criteria for evaluating
performance of private sector profit centers in competitive markets. |
The lack of reliable performance criteria is broadly corrosive. |
Objective performance criteria are almost totally lacking in government administration. Other methods of measuring performance are more difficult to apply and not always applicable. The lack of reliable performance criteria is broadly corrosive.
The "Senior Executive Service" program established in 1978 to provide elite leadership has been thwarted by "a maelstrom of political, economic, and managerial forces that can frustrate even well-intentioned and carefully crafted campaigns."
|
The hidden government:
& |
Government contracting jobs totaled
over 7.6 million, government grant jobs almost 2.9 million - not including
military personnel. State and local governments have no idea of the man-hours
spent administering federal mandates. Half a million contractor employees have
top secret clearances (as did Edward Snowden). |
Agency procurement offices lack the manpower and skills to
effectively manage all their contractors and thousands of subcontractors. GAO
reports of troubled contracting programs and systems continue for decades,
beginning with Defense, Energy, and NASA. Obamacare's website contract is all
too typical. The civil service is an "increasingly demoralized, poorly
equipped, marginalized, publicly scorned, and - literally - undisciplined
workforce." |
A reform wish-list:
& |
Schuck provides a wish-list of cultural, constitutional, statutory and political changes and reforms that might lead to improvements in government managerial performance. He realistically acknowledges that, with a few exceptions, the chances range from slim to none. |
|
Congress remains the single greatest source of governmental failure.
However, reform is a political nonstarter, and complexities make even
the most well intentioned changes extraordinarily fraught with unintended and
often dangerous consequences. |
|
There are a host of procedural reforms designed to overcome partisan gridlock and reinforce "moderation" being circulated by academics. Among these are open primaries, easier voter registration, filibuster reform, all of which have to varying degrees recently been tried at state or federal levels.
|
Other Schuck suggestions include:
|
|
Given the many shortcomings of the
bureaucracy, there is no shortage of ideas for improvements. Schuck
mentions flattening to no more than six levels the
hierarchy, reserving at least 25% of supervisory openings for outside
candidates, streamlining disciplinary and hiring processes, reducing supervisory
ranks by half, strengthening oversight for contracts and assistance contracts.
Congress and unions show no interest in any of this. |
|
Disgust with government intrusiveness and policy failure is eroding public voluntary compliance with law. |
Finally, Schuck briefly acknowledges government's lack of effective
tools for flexible management of policies affecting complex, rapidly changing economic and
social worlds. He recommends that government end foolish policies, refrain from
grand utopian projects, and confine itself to the reasonably possible. & He warns that disgust with government intrusiveness and policy failure is eroding public voluntary compliance with law - a loss of which threatens the foundations of democratic governance. & |
|
|
|
|
|
Please return to our Homepage and e-mail your name and comments.