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FUTURECASTS JOURNAL
Capitalism:
Its Origins and Evolution as a System of Governance
by
Bruce R. Scott
Page Contents
February, 2013
www.futurecasts.com
Part II: Financial Oligarchs, Stakeholders, and Other Issues of Political Economy.
Issues of political economy:
& |
Besides the primary problems of political
economy, such as economic development, economic growth and decline,
and the business cycle, Bruce R. Scott, in "Capitalism: Its Origins and
Evolution as a System of Governance," addresses a variety of other
important issues of
political economy that cannot be adequately addressed within the narrow
focus of modern economics. These other issues are covered in this Part II, "Financial Oligarchs, Stakeholders, and Other
Issues of Political Economy." |
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Sometimes there is agreement and sometimes there is disagreement, as might be expected, but FUTURECASTS joins Scott in emphasizing that such issues and capitalism itself can only be analyzed and understood within the broader focus of political economy. |
The future of the U.S. capitalist system will be shaped by a host of contentious issues. Scott and FUTURECASTS herein provide some discussion of market disciplinary mechanisms and administered alternatives, financial oligarchs, Constitutional constraints, stakeholder capitalism, the strategic objectives of economic policy, industrial policy, abuse of the commons, government enterprises, and economic policy competition in political markets. Sometimes there is agreement and sometimes there is disagreement, as might be expected, but FUTURECASTS joins Scott in emphasizing that such issues and capitalism itself can only be analyzed and understood within the broader focus of political economy. See, Scott, "Capitalism, Its Origins and Evolution as a System of Governance," Part I, "The Concept of Capitalism."
FUTURECASTS readers are encouraged to add their input on the issues covered in these articles. E-mail comments to blat1@futurecasts.com. |
Scott is talking about regulations that are administered alternatives to market mechanisms.
The costs and constraints of Dodd-Frank regulations threaten to overwhelm smaller banks, force even more consolidation and reduce small business access to credit.
Markets will be reduced to a price-finding mechanism sensitive to a wide variety of government policy influences, closer to the European social democratic model. Incentives will diminish for economic enterprise but will increase for political enterprise, including the influencing of government policy. |
Scott favors a "formal system of regulation" that will not only impose regulatory disciplines but that can be adjusted to achieve policy outcomes. He has no faith in market disciplinary mechanisms and indicates no concern for their absence. He is thus not talking about regulations that are designed to facilitate market mechanisms, like securities law disclosure regulations and real estate title recording regulations. He is talking about regulations that are administered alternatives to market mechanisms.
In presenting an outline of his views, the author provides an indication
- just an indication - of the vast complexity of administered
regulatory alternatives adequate to take the place of proven if admittedly
imperfect market disciplinary mechanisms. Markets will be reduced to a price-finding mechanism sensitive to a
wide variety of government policy influences, closer to the European social
democratic model. Incentives will diminish for
economic enterprise but will increase for political enterprise, including the
influencing of government policy. |
Competition is to be limited sufficiently so market participants can generate rents that can be distributed among stakeholder interests.
Scott properly emphasizes that firms, markets, regulations, institutions, laws, and the pertinent people are inherently imperfect and always playing catch-up with changing conditions.
Analysis and policy limited to economic factors is inherently incompetent. Mathematical models can make the figures line up in perfect order, but such models are of Never-Never land economies. They have never existed and never will. |
"Chaos" is the only alternative to an administered regulatory framework, the author asserts. He ignores the alternative of restoration of market disciplinary mechanisms. He wants competition to be limited sufficiently so market participants can generate rents that can be distributed among stakeholder interests.
Scott does not offer any simplistic recipe for reform. He properly emphasizes that firms, markets, regulations, institutions, laws, and the pertinent people are inherently imperfect and always playing catch-up with changing conditions. He concludes:
Analysis of the system and making the system work for the national interest involves the broad factors of political economy. Analysis and policy limited to economic factors is inherently incompetent. Mathematical models can make the figures line up in perfect order, but such models are of Never-Never land economies. They have never existed and never will.
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Wealth and power in the financial sector have
increased beyond any economic reason, Scott points out. This is far beyond the growth of
wealth and power in the productive and distributive sectors. |
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Mathematical modeling simply can't deal with these markets and their human participants where events are humanly determined rather than randomly or physically determined, the author accurately points out. There is no substitute for human relationships and trust in a complex financial and commercial system. These relationships cannot be replaced by market mechanisms because they are perhaps the most essential mechanisms that determine market effectiveness and efficiency. |
The fragmentation of political power hinders any appropriate response.
Responses to the crisis have been more than just problematic. The
Federal Reserve has extended its lawful and implied powers far beyond tested
practices - now including the extension of credit to non-banking institutions,
the acceptance of subprime assets as collateral - and the extension of an implied
moral hazard credit market subsidy broadly to major economic and financial
institutions. The author reviews the now familiar excesses in the housing
and mortgage and other related securities markets. The financial system was
stripped of regulatory safeguards. The "insurance mechanism" of
default swaps was totally unregulated and without reserve requirements. |
Compensation systems based on short term results provided incentives to risk the whole firm for short term gains. With too-big-to-fail credit subsidies, major financial institutions were privatizing gains and socializing losses on a grand scale. |
Scott wisely leans on Paul Volcker for analysis of the Credit Crunch recession. Volcker explained the gross weaknesses of the pertinent policies.
Compensation systems based on short term results provided incentives to risk the whole corporation for short term gains. With too-big-to-fail credit subsidies, major financial corporations were privatizing gains and socializing losses on a grand scale.
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An increasingly powerful financial sector created a financial "oligarchy" with influence powerful enough to subvert the regulatory apparatus.
Scott finds no evidence that the United States or its economy has realized any benefit from this transfer of wealth from the business and industrial sectors to finance. By the last decade, finance absorbed 41% of the nation's taxable "earnings," up from about 16% in the 1970s. |
Primary villains in the Credit Crunch crisis were Congress and the Federal Reserve which dismantled regulatory safeguards, refused to regulate as the bubble grew, and supported the implicit too-big-to-fail credit subsidy. Reliance on debt after 1980 more than doubled - especially to finance homes and other consumption items rather than for government and business. This leverage increased the earnings and influence of the financial sector. An increasingly powerful financial sector created a financial "oligarchy" with influence powerful enough to subvert the regulatory apparatus.
Scott finds no evidence that the United States or its economy has realized any benefit from this transfer of wealth from the business and industrial sectors to finance. By the last decade, finance absorbed 41% of the nation's taxable "earnings," up from about 16% in the 1970s.
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The power of the financial oligarchs must be broken - by the federal government - like that of the robber barons of a century ago - to permit the appropriate reorientation of the system and limitation of the power of the financial sector. |
The financial oligarchy today obstructs development and implementation of needed regulatory reforms, the author points out. Their power must be broken - by the federal government - like that of the robber barons of a century ago - to permit the appropriate reorientation of the system and limitation of the power of the financial sector.
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& |
Legal Realists believe that federal economic powers
are unduly constrained by legal standards judicially established by reference to the common law
and Constitutional principles. Legal Realists
argue that rapid economic and societal
change requires a more responsive judicial approach. They recognize
that any judicial philosophy has major economic and societal impacts that cannot
in any manner be considered neutral. They believe that desired changes in the economic
system should come through legislation essentially unhindered by Constitutional
constraints, and by court decisions if the changes cannot be achieved through legislation. |
Legal Realism has facilitated the establishment of welfare state programs and an economic system closer to the European model. |
Since 1937, federal powers to regulate interstate commerce have been radically expanded by "Realist" Supreme Court decisions. Liberals believe these decisions sufficient to free federal economic regulatory powers from Constitutional constraint. Federal government oversight is permitted not just to facilitate market mechanisms but to "protect the national common from a corporate free-for-all." Legal Realism has facilitated the establishment of welfare state programs and an economic system closer to the European model.
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These disputes concern the fundamental nature of the legal system. They are all the stuff of political economy, and they must be analyzed as such. "For want of a clear recognition of capitalism as a system of economic governance, public discourse was impoverished and a distorted ideological view of capitalism as natural law came to prevail." Legal philosophy itself should be evaluated and suitably revised.
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& |
Scott's personal view is that
"stakeholder" capitalism should displace the narrow focus on
"shareholder" capitalism in the broader interests of society. He
provides a compelling critique of the massive weaknesses of the corporate model.
These weaknesses extend far beyond the conflict of agent and owner interests discussed by
Smith and epitomized by the widespread aligning of options compensation with management
interests rather than shareholder interests or the broader interests of the
firm. |
A market system neutered by government policies favoring powerful financial interests can hardly be expected to balance optimism with pessimism, ambition with caution, greed with fear, to generate prudent management.
The excesses and failings of stock options compensation based on short term results are thoroughly explained by Scott. "It was a 'one way only' upside system to favor a privileged few." |
The excesses and foibles of corporate
management since the age of the robber barons are covered at length by the
author. He correctly points out that
powerful economic actors continue to exercise inordinate and sometimes
destructive influence over government economic policy. |
As in the 19th century, the private sector has overcome government to gain the right to profit without being held accountable for the results of its behavior."
The view of this book is that economic governance should be "a balancing of the empowerment of firms to earn a decent return and the regulation of their behavior in the interests of other societal stakeholders." |
The extension of taxpayer credit guarantees to major "too
big to fail" business entities is "a silent U.S. repudiation of
private-sector responsibility for results as the quid-pro-quo for the right to
earn and keep the profits in a capitalist system, and notably in the financial
sector. As in the 19th century, the private sector has overcome government to
gain the right to profit without being held accountable for the results of its
behavior."
When corporations become agencies for achieving political and social objectives, they will logically expect protection from the rigors of competition - as occurred in regulated industries like airlines, trucking and telecommunications prior to their deregulation. Indeed, Scott favors the economic policies of the 1960s and 1970s prior to deregulation.
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The regulatory framework will have to reduce competition enough to give firms sufficient pricing power to generate "rents" that can be divided up amongst the various "stakeholder" interests. Since markets without competition lack all disciplinary function, administered alternatives of great sophistication will be required. |
Scott thus deplores the rigors imposed by competitive markets that have often
forced downsizing, divesting, outsourcing and similar decisions harmful to
established "stakeholders." He labels deregulation, shareholder
capitalism and stock option compensation as "the toxic trio," without
distinguishing between regulations designed to facilitate market mechanisms and
those designed to impose administered alternatives. He complains that the
disconnect between the "stakeholder" capitalism of much of the rest of
the world and the "shareholder" capitalism of the U.S. "is not
taken as evidence that the United States is out of step with the world but,
rather, that the world is out of step with the United States." |
"The principals who authorize charters are the governments and ultimately legislators who act on behalf of society, and the behavior of firms should be expected to recognize that broader mandate." |
Liberal reform of the combined political and economic system will require extraordinary legal and regulatory changes, the author candidly recognizes. Desired changes include Constitutional amendments - like that for direct election of Senators almost a century ago. Amendments are needed to establish desired campaign finance reforms to establish that only natural persons can make political contributions and to introduce mandatory voting requirements as an obligation of citizenship. As with so many societal reformers, he targets the next generation. School curricula should focus on the obligations of citizenship that should accompany and support these stakeholder rights.
Scott sums up his recommendation for reform of corporate governance.
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Moreover, as Scott candidly concedes, this is just the beginning of the social, political, institutional and economic reforms required to create the system of capitalist governance that he advocates. "How these policy goals can be achieved without dulling the incentive structure of society is a much more subtle question, and one beyond the scope of this book." (Indeed!)
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Factors that tilt the playing fields in the
political and economic markets are of especial concern to Scott. He goes at
length into several of these factors - some emanating from the economic sector
and some from the political sector. |
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The breadth of civil society and the extent of its legal, political and economic empowerment must be included in any analysis of economic development and market functions. How effective are the mechanisms by which the public can hold government to account? How should government mobilize economic resources to achieve public purposes?
Japan, Korea, Singapore and Taiwan are used by Scott as examples of successful neo-mercantilist export forcing strategy for initial economic development. |
It is through the "visible hand" of
government that nations seek to address some of the problems of the tilted
political and economic playing fields. Evaluating the quality of governance -
public, private and societal - is an essential element in economic analysis, and
Scott dedicates hundreds of pages to the topic. The breadth of civil society and
the extent of its legal, political and economic empowerment must be included in
any analysis of economic development and market functions. How effective are the
mechanisms by which the public can hold government to account? How should
government mobilize economic resources to achieve public purposes? |
The 20th century examples involved a social bargain sufficient to gain support for wage restraint. Typically, taxpayer credit subsidies were used to enhance growth prospects for favored industries. Labor and consumer interests are initially sacrificed to accelerate economic growth with the understanding that this will ultimately enhance labor and consumer interests. Scott provides considerable detail. |
A successful economic development
strategy that the author terms "enhanced mobilization" is used as
an example. He recognizes that there are "necessary
preconditions" for success. These conditions include the standard fare of
"good governance" such as capitalist markets, property rights, at
least some trade liberalization, infrastructure, rule of law, responsible
fiscal and monetary policies. However, Scott adds to this list an extensive
program of government industrial and financial policy designed to achieve
government and societal goals. |
Some of the favored industries are subject to the harsh disciplines of competitive export markets, but others fatten in uncompetitive domestic markets.
"Solidaristic" wage policies and agreements bring industrial peace, enhanced profitability and economic growth without international payments problems. They promote "medium-term performance through coordinated action," but are not "necessarily right for the long term." |
Inevitably, influential elites are primary beneficiaries, but the
trickle down of wider benefits grow to a considerable extent. Some of the favored industries
are subject to the harsh disciplines of competitive export markets, but
others fatten in uncompetitive domestic markets. Generally, the strategy has
been justified by some sense of national crisis often involving market failure
or outside threat sufficient to gain broad public support.
Most of the Tiger and other East Asian growth economies achieved similar wage restraint results by repressing unions and by initially taking advantage of the flow of labor out of the agricultural sector. Again, benefits could be described as eventually "trickling down." As full employment was achieved, wages rose, and improved education permitted an economic "virtuous circle" movement to higher value-added activities.
The
political context of development in these instances was single party and authoritarian, the social
context initially egalitarian. The financial context included extensive controls
and government credit subsidies to direct flows to favored industries at
below-market interest rates. "As the invested capital per worker in the
developing country begins to approach the levels existing in developed
countries, it becomes a natural time to phase out such a strategy." |
There is always considerable risk of politicization, waste and corruption of the strategy. |
These national strategies generate problems over time due to
the rigidity of government decision making and the inability to properly respond
to changing political, technological and economic conditions. Scott explains the
trouble that eventually overtook Sweden. (Problems related to the Credit Crunch
in Ireland came after the period covered by this book.) He provides considerable
detail about the various versions of "enhanced mobilization" strategy.
There is always considerable risk of politicization, waste and corruption of the
strategy. Scott points out that the development of canals and railroads in 19th
century U.S. also involved considerable politicization, waste and corruption,
but at least in the U.S. the infrastructure was still enormously beneficial to
the entire economy. |
Financial manipulation has resulted in many instances of substantial financial and economic distortions including the spectacular busting of the financial bubble in Japan in 1990 and in the U.S. in 2000 (and again in 2008 involving much of Europe as well).
Import substitution strategies perform well only so long as creditors or foreign aid finances deficits. Demagoguery, corruption and patron-client systems typically afflict them. |
In its financial form, as enhanced financial mobilization,
there have been repeated failures to adjust adequately to the rapidly changing
circumstances of financial markets. Financial manipulation has resulted in many
instances of substantial
financial and economic distortions including the spectacular busting of the
financial bubble in Japan in 1990 and in the U.S. in 2000 (and again in 2008
involving much of Europe as well). In Japan and Korea, economic contraction
resulted in a piling up of bad loans, politicization of lending and business
decisions, and maintenance of "zombie" corporations. Well over a
trillion dollars worth of loans have had to be written off in Japan since 1990,
and the entire economy stagnated for over a decade.
|
Success with Washington Consensus development strategy has been limited to countries that were already "close to the technological and organizational frontiers."
Neoclassical economics "is simply a very incomplete model of an economy, and especially of one that has the imperfect institutions so characteristic of developing countries." |
Washington Consensus development strategy also has major
problems. In essence, Scott points out, it was originally limited to economic
factors - an inherently incompetent approach. It has not been "a
well-trodden route to wealth." Success has been limited to countries that
were already "close to the technological and organizational
frontiers."
The Washington Consensus has yet to take into account "the
inevitable antagonistic side of the relationship between capitalism and
democracy." Impoverished electorates will not accept the sacrifices needed
to implement economic reforms, especially if their privileged elites find
shelter from those sacrifices. Neoclassical economics "is simply a very
incomplete model of an economy, and especially of one that has the imperfect
institutions so characteristic of developing countries." |
The problem of "systemic distortions due to oligarchy seems to be completely missing" from standard economic theory. |
The existence of powerful privileged elites is
a primary problem of political economy. Such elites block needed political and
administrative reforms that might disadvantage them. "Indeed, they are
often prepared to corrupt the system if necessary to stymie such reforms, as
they did in the U.S. South prior to the 1960s and continue to do so in the
Mezzogiorno." |
Capitalism naturally tends to create unequal outcomes, some of
which result in great differences in wealth and economic power. Great wealth can
also provide inordinate political influence. The lobbying efforts of industrial
and financial giants can provide them with major competitive advantages.
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& |
The fear of centralized power that shaped
the Constitution and federal economic policy for the first 140 years of the
nation's history is epitomized by the demise of the Second National Bank when Pres. Andrew
Jackson blocked renewal of its charter. |
Scott speculates that a central bank acting as lender
of last resort and an instrument of national economic influence might
have prevented the
economic contractions that afflicted the nation in the 1840s, 1870s and
1907. Private competition
led to periods of over-expansion of the railroads and other new
industrial giants. This was followed inevitably by periods of
economic contraction and enhanced creative destruction.
|
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The hazard of unintended consequences is geographically limited for state policy initiatives. However, at the federal level, the hazard applies from sea to shining sea. |
Unintended consequences are an inherent hazard of
government policy initiatives. The hazard is geographically limited for state policy
initiatives. However, at the federal level, the hazard applies from sea to shining sea.
Scott discusses at some length examples from changes in the social and political
"markets" in the last half century that are somewhat related to
the economic market changes. Indeed,
he emphasizes several of the destructive unintended consequences.
|
Mitigating "the tragedy of the
commons" is a vital political and institutional role emphasized by the
author. |
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Prevention of the degradation of commons assets can only be done through government.
"Abuse of the common is an ever-present temptation that comes with economic freedom. Effective use of a commercial common, as well as its effective protection from abuse, depends upon the maintenance of an effective system of economic governance, and, for all practical purposes, today that means governance through a capitalist system headed by a legitimate political authority." |
He uses the term "commons" broadly to encompass not just tangible assets but intangible assets as well, like defense, law, and the institutions of capitalism and democracy themselves. Prevention of the degradation of such assets can only be done through government.
Currently, the degradation of fisheries provides a classic example of the tragedy of the commons in a still largely informal economic market of the type Milton Friedman described. Atmospheric pollution provides another example.
Market frameworks themselves are an intangible "common" that can be - and have been - and even today are being - subject to abuse. The framework for goods and services markets grew naturally from common practices in addition to the laws, infrastructure and physical security that facilitate the markets. However, factor markets, involving land, labor, technologies and capital, required far more political and institutional input. Serfs and slaves had to be freed from feudal obligations, corporate entities had to be accorded legal status. These developments occurred much earlier in some nations than in others, and sometimes required violent change. In some nations, even today, these changes remain partial at best.
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Government ownership of economic entities
and government sponsorship or control of the policies of privately owned enterprises create conflicts of interest that as a practical matter become irresistible. |
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"The government may indirectly contribute to others' abuse by allowing those economic actors with greater economic or political power to influence its own agents and thereby shape the institutions and markets of capitalism to their private advantage." |
The regulatory and tax framework will always be biased in favor of the government entities.
Scott thus advises caution in establishing government economic entities or in government takeover of private entities. Exceptions for public utilities and during periods of national emergency are recognized.
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Government actions inevitably
"tilt" the markets towards politically influential groups. The
tilt may be explicit and/or implicit. Indeed, there will always be a combination
of impacts, and they will not always be consistent. |
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Governments thus shape capitalist systems, fulfilling their political "entrepreneurial" role to - at best - achieve societal goals or - at worst - favor the politically influential. There is frequently a mix of both in market reform efforts. |
Among the broad categories of people vying for political favor are
capital and labor, investors and creditors, producers and consumers. Promotion
of growth and development may vie with protection of the status quo. Different
levels of risk may be accepted or rejected. Responsibilities are allocated.
Government decisions inevitably favor certain interests over others.
The market for land is a primary example. This market is shaped by zoning
laws and laws governing property rights. Both zoning laws and property rights
can be changed by pertinent officials as societal priorities change. |
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